{"id":11540,"date":"2025-06-12T17:48:36","date_gmt":"2025-06-12T15:48:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.zdv.uni-mainz.de\/fb02-theorie-politik\/?page_id=11540"},"modified":"2026-07-29T16:30:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T14:30:47","slug":"false-consensus-beliefs","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/research\/false-consensus-beliefs\/","title":{"rendered":"False consensus assumptions in politics and their impact on legitimacy"},"content":{"rendered":"<jgu-base-pageheader react-props=\"{\n    &quot;items&quot;: [\n        {\n            &quot;box&quot;: {\n                &quot;index&quot;: &quot;False Consensus Beliefs in Politics and their Effects on Legitimacy&quot;,\n                &quot;title&quot;: &quot;False consensus beliefs in politics and their impact on legitimacy&quot;,\n                &quot;link&quot;: {\n                    &quot;url&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n                    &quot;title&quot;: &quot;learn more&quot;\n                }\n            },\n            &quot;color&quot;: &quot;default&quot;,\n            &quot;image&quot;: {\n                &quot;url&quot;: &quot;&quot;\n            },\n            &quot;imgCredit&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n            &quot;useVideo&quot;: false,\n            &quot;video&quot;: false\n        }\n    ],\n    &quot;type&quot;: &quot;border&quot;,\n    &quot;useBreadcrumb&quot;: true,\n    &quot;align&quot;: &quot;full&quot;,\n    &quot;quicklinks&quot;: {\n        &quot;show&quot;: false,\n        &quot;selects&quot;: []\n    },\n    &quot;autoplay&quot;: false\n}\">\n<\/jgu-base-pageheader><jgu-base-section react-props=\"{&quot;color&quot;:&quot;white&quot;,&quot;align&quot;:&quot;wide&quot;,&quot;padding&quot;:&quot;medium&quot;}\">\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-white \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Project within the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wiso.uni-hamburg.de\/en\/forschung\/verbundprojekte\/ru-bisc.html\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wiso.uni-hamburg.de\/en\/forschung\/verbundprojekte\/ru-bisc.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DFG Research Group &#8220;Big Structural Change&#8221;<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Duration: 2025\u20132028<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Project Leader: <a href=\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/team\/univ-prof-dr-claudia-landwehr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Univ.-Prof. Dr. Claudia Landwehr<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Project Staff: <a href=\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/dr-nils-steiner\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dr. Nils Steiner<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/team\/yanick-gutheil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Yanick Gutheil<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><jgu-base-alertbox react-props=\"{\n    &quot;headline&quot;: &quot;&lt;strong&gt;News &lt;\\\/strong&gt;&quot;,\n    &quot;subline&quot;: &quot;Our paper &lt;a href=\\&quot;https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.1111\\\/pops.70026\\&quot; 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justify-content: left\">\n  \n<jgu-base-buttonitem react-props=\"{\n    &quot;text&quot;: &quot;Events&quot;,\n    &quot;icon&quot;: &quot;calendar-week-solid&quot;,\n    &quot;link&quot;: {\n        &quot;url&quot;: &quot;https:\\\/\\\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\\\/en\\\/research\\\/false-consensus-beliefs\\\/#Veranstaltungen&quot;,\n        &quot;linkTarget&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n        &quot;rel&quot;: &quot;&quot;\n    },\n    &quot;align&quot;: &quot;left&quot;,\n    &quot;styling&quot;: &quot;primary&quot;,\n    &quot;type&quot;: &quot;default&quot;,\n    &quot;iconBefore&quot;: false,\n    &quot;isSmall&quot;: false,\n    &quot;fullWidth&quot;: false,\n    &quot;className&quot;: &quot;&quot;\n}\"><\/jgu-base-buttonitem>\n\n<\/jgu-base-button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"height:10%\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<jgu-base-section react-props=\"{&quot;color&quot;:&quot;white&quot;,&quot;align&quot;:&quot;wide&quot;,&quot;padding&quot;:&quot;medium&quot;}\">\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-white \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><jgu-base-heading react-props=\"{\n    &quot;tags&quot;: {\n        &quot;htmlTag&quot;: &quot;h2&quot;,\n        &quot;classTag&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n        &quot;tag&quot;: &quot;h2&quot;\n    },\n    &quot;heading&quot;: &quot;About the project&quot;,\n    &quot;textAlign&quot;: &quot;left&quot;,\n    &quot;anchor&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;index&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;color&quot;: &quot;red&quot;\n}\"><\/jgu-base-heading>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Using the <em>BEL model<\/em> employed by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wiso.uni-hamburg.de\/en\/forschung\/verbundprojekte\/ru-bisc.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cBig Structural Change\u201d<\/a> research group, this project examines the hypothesis that, in a globalized and digitized information environment, exposure to information is selective with regard to societal preferences, leading to false consensus beliefs. These, in turn, have negative effects on the perceived legitimacy of democratic institutions, which can facilitate disruptive structural change (BISC). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">False consensus beliefs arise from a misperception that a majority of others share one&#8217;s opinions. While the human tendency to overestimate support for one&#8217;s own views is well documented by an extensive literature in Social Psychology, the potential consequences of this tendency for political legitimacy are largely unexplored. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">In line with <em>the conflict-escalation hypothesis<\/em>(CEH), we assume that when individuals hold false consensus beliefs, the legitimacy of political institutions\u2014which is central to the social structure\u2014is called into question, and support for these institutions erodes, which can lead to disruptive structural change (BISC). As a bridge project, G2 also addresses the <em>conflict-abatement hypothesis<\/em>(CAH) by examining how false consensus beliefs can be corrected and legitimacy restored, ensuring that structural change remains incremental. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The project examines the prevalence and correlates of false consensus beliefs using longitudinal survey data and combines these analyses with survey and laboratory experiments that enable causal identification, as well as with simulation models on the effects of false consensus beliefs on disruptive structural change. 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       &quot;id&quot;: 13525,\n        &quot;title&quot;: &quot;panel-group-733x414&quot;,\n        &quot;width&quot;: 733,\n        &quot;height&quot;: 414,\n        &quot;srcset&quot;: &quot;https:\\\/\\\/cms.zdv.uni-mainz.de\\\/fb02-theorie-politik\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/832\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/panel-group-733x414-1.jpg 733w, https:\\\/\\\/cms.zdv.uni-mainz.de\\\/fb02-theorie-politik\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/832\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/panel-group-733x414-1-300x169.jpg 300w&quot;\n    },\n    &quot;align&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;hasLightbox&quot;: false,\n    &quot;caption&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;imgWidth&quot;: 0,\n    &quot;link&quot;: {\n        &quot;url&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n        &quot;target&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n        &quot;rel&quot;: &quot;&quot;\n    }\n}\" class=\"align-\">\n    \n<\/jgu-base-image><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\"><jgu-base-alertbox react-props=\"{\n    &quot;headline&quot;: &quot;March 6\\u20138, 2025, in Hamburg: BISC Kickoff Meeting&quot;,\n    &quot;headlineColor&quot;: &quot;dark&quot;,\n    &quot;subline&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;children&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;icon&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;iconOverHeadline&quot;: false,\n    &quot;isPreview&quot;: false\n}\">\n    \n<\/jgu-base-alertbox><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/jgu-base-section><jgu-base-section react-props=\"{&quot;color&quot;:&quot;light&quot;,&quot;align&quot;:&quot;wide&quot;,&quot;padding&quot;:&quot;medium&quot;}\">\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-light \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><jgu-base-heading react-props=\"{\n    &quot;anchor&quot;: &quot;Publikationen&quot;,\n    &quot;tags&quot;: {\n        &quot;htmlTag&quot;: &quot;h2&quot;,\n        &quot;classTag&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n        &quot;tag&quot;: &quot;h2&quot;\n    },\n    &quot;heading&quot;: &quot;Publications&quot;,\n    &quot;textAlign&quot;: &quot;left&quot;,\n    &quot;index&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;color&quot;: &quot;red&quot;\n}\"><\/jgu-base-heading>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Steiner, Nils, Claudia Landwehr and Philipp Harms (2026): <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/pops.70026\">False Consensus Beliefs and Populist Attitudes, <\/a><em>Political Psychology<\/em>, DOI: 10.1111\/pops.70026<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/jgu-base-section>\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<jgu-base-section react-props=\"{&quot;color&quot;:&quot;light&quot;,&quot;align&quot;:&quot;wide&quot;,&quot;padding&quot;:&quot;medium&quot;}\">\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-light \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><jgu-base-heading react-props=\"{\n    &quot;anchor&quot;: &quot;WIP&quot;,\n    &quot;tags&quot;: {\n        &quot;htmlTag&quot;: &quot;h2&quot;,\n        &quot;classTag&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n        &quot;tag&quot;: &quot;h2&quot;\n    },\n    &quot;heading&quot;: &quot;Work in Progress&quot;,\n    &quot;textAlign&quot;: &quot;left&quot;,\n    &quot;index&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;color&quot;: &quot;red&quot;\n}\"><\/jgu-base-heading>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/jgu-base-section>\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<jgu-base-section react-props=\"{&quot;color&quot;:&quot;light&quot;,&quot;align&quot;:&quot;wide&quot;,&quot;padding&quot;:&quot;medium&quot;}\">\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-light \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><jgu-base-heading react-props=\"{\n    &quot;anchor&quot;: &quot;Vortr\\u00e4ge&quot;,\n    &quot;tags&quot;: {\n        &quot;htmlTag&quot;: &quot;h2&quot;,\n        &quot;classTag&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n        &quot;tag&quot;: &quot;h2&quot;\n    },\n    &quot;heading&quot;: &quot;Presentations&quot;,\n    &quot;textAlign&quot;: &quot;left&quot;,\n    &quot;index&quot;: &quot;&quot;,\n    &quot;color&quot;: &quot;red&quot;\n}\"><\/jgu-base-heading>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">2026 European Political Science Society (EPSS) Conference in Belfast<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">2025 Annual Conference of the DVPW Working Group on \u201cElections and Political Attitudes\u201d in Berlin <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">2025 Research Workshop, Comparative Politics &amp; Political Economy, University of Konstanz<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">2023 Annual Conference of the DVPW Working Group on \u201cAnalytical Political Theory\u201d in Hamburg<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/jgu-base-section>\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n    <div style=\"display: none\">\n        \n    <\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":2025,"featured_media":0,"parent":11461,"menu_order":2,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[70],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11540","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","category-research"],"content_raw":"<!-- wp:jgu\/pageheader {\"items\":[{\"box\":{\"index\":\"False Consensus Beliefs in Politics and their Effects on Legitimacy\",\"title\":\"False consensus beliefs in politics and their impact on legitimacy\",\"link\":{\"url\":\"\",\"title\":\"learn more\"}},\"color\":\"default\",\"image\":{\"url\":\"\"},\"imgCredit\":\"\",\"useVideo\":false,\"video\":false}],\"type\":\"border\",\"useBreadcrumb\":true} \/--><!-- wp:jgu\/section {\"color\":\"white\"} -->\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-white \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><!-- wp:columns {\"className\":\"\"} -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns\"><!-- wp:column {\"width\":\"66.66%\"} -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\"><!-- wp:list -->\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><!-- wp:list-item {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<li>Funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG)<\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\n\n<!-- wp:list-item {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<li>Project within the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wiso.uni-hamburg.de\/en\/forschung\/verbundprojekte\/ru-bisc.html\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wiso.uni-hamburg.de\/en\/forschung\/verbundprojekte\/ru-bisc.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DFG Research Group \"Big Structural Change\"<\/a><\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\n\n<!-- wp:list-item {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<li>Duration: 2025\u20132028<\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\n\n<!-- wp:list-item {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<li>Project Leader: <a href=\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/team\/univ-prof-dr-claudia-landwehr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Univ.-Prof. Dr. Claudia Landwehr<\/a><\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item -->\n\n<!-- wp:list-item {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<li>Project Staff: <a href=\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/dr-nils-steiner\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dr. Nils Steiner<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/team\/yanick-gutheil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Yanick Gutheil<\/a><\/li>\n<!-- \/wp:list-item --><\/ul>\n<!-- \/wp:list --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column {\"width\":\"33.33%\"} -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><!-- wp:jgu\/alertbox {\"headline\":\"\\u003cstrong\\u003eNews \\u003c\/strong\\u003e\",\"subline\":\"Our paper \\u003ca href=\\u0022https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/pops.70026\\u0022 target=\\u0022_blank\\u0022 rel=\\u0022noreferrer noopener\\u0022\\u003e, \\u0022False Consensus Beliefs and Populist Attitudes,\\u0022\\u003c\/a\\u003e a collaboration with our project partner Philipp Harms (JGU Mainz), has been published in *Political Psychology*!\",\"icon\":\"bullhorn-solid\",\"iconColor\":\"red\",\"iconOverHeadline\":true} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:columns --><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/section --><!-- wp:columns {\"className\":\"\"} -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns\"><!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/button -->\n<!-- wp:jgu\/button-item {\"text\":\"Work in Progess\",\"icon\":\"spinner-solid\",\"link\":{\"url\":\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/research\/false-consensus-beliefs\/#WIP\",\"linkTarget\":\"\",\"rel\":\"\",\"id\":\"https:\/\/cms.zdv.uni-mainz.de\/fb02-theorie-politik\/forschung\/falsche-konsensannahmen\/#Veranstaltungen\",\"title\":\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/research\/false-consensus-beliefs\/#Veranstaltungen\",\"type\":\"link\",\"opensInNewTab\":false}} \/-->\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/button --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/button -->\n<!-- wp:jgu\/button-item {\"text\":\"Publications\",\"icon\":\"thumbtack-solid\",\"link\":{\"url\":\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/research\/false-consensus-beliefs\/#Publikationen\",\"linkTarget\":\"\",\"rel\":\"\"}} \/-->\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/button --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/button -->\n<!-- wp:jgu\/button-item {\"text\":\"Presentations\",\"icon\":\"university-solid\",\"link\":{\"url\":\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/research\/false-consensus-beliefs\/#Vortr\u00e4ge\",\"linkTarget\":\"\",\"rel\":\"\"}} \/-->\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/button --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/button -->\n<!-- wp:jgu\/button-item {\"text\":\"Events\",\"icon\":\"calendar-week-solid\",\"link\":{\"url\":\"https:\/\/theorie.politik.uni-mainz.de\/en\/research\/false-consensus-beliefs\/#Veranstaltungen\",\"linkTarget\":\"\",\"rel\":\"\"}} \/-->\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/button --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:columns --><!-- wp:spacer {\"height\":\"10%\"} -->\n<div style=\"height:10%\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:spacer --><!-- wp:jgu\/section {\"color\":\"white\"} -->\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-white \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><!-- wp:jgu\/heading {\"tags\":{\"htmlTag\":\"h2\",\"classTag\":\"\",\"tag\":\"h2\"},\"heading\":\"About the project\"} \/-->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\">Using the <em>BEL model<\/em> employed by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wiso.uni-hamburg.de\/en\/forschung\/verbundprojekte\/ru-bisc.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cBig Structural Change\u201d<\/a> research group, this project examines the hypothesis that, in a globalized and digitized information environment, exposure to information is selective with regard to societal preferences, leading to false consensus beliefs. These, in turn, have negative effects on the perceived legitimacy of democratic institutions, which can facilitate disruptive structural change (BISC). <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\">False consensus beliefs arise from a misperception that a majority of others share one's opinions. While the human tendency to overestimate support for one's own views is well documented by an extensive literature in Social Psychology, the potential consequences of this tendency for political legitimacy are largely unexplored. <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\">In line with <em>the conflict-escalation hypothesis<\/em>(CEH), we assume that when individuals hold false consensus beliefs, the legitimacy of political institutions\u2014which is central to the social structure\u2014is called into question, and support for these institutions erodes, which can lead to disruptive structural change (BISC). As a bridge project, G2 also addresses the <em>conflict-abatement hypothesis<\/em>(CAH) by examining how false consensus beliefs can be corrected and legitimacy restored, ensuring that structural change remains incremental. <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\">The project examines the prevalence and correlates of false consensus beliefs using longitudinal survey data and combines these analyses with survey and laboratory experiments that enable causal identification, as well as with simulation models on the effects of false consensus beliefs on disruptive structural change. Overall, the project will provide a better understanding of the political consequences of false consensus beliefs and promises to uncover mechanisms that lead from changes in the information environment to (demand for) disruptive political change. <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/section --><!-- wp:jgu\/section {\"color\":\"white-dark-text\"} -->\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-white-dark-text \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><!-- wp:jgu\/heading {\"anchor\":\"Veranstaltungen\",\"tags\":{\"htmlTag\":\"h2\",\"classTag\":\"\",\"tag\":\"h2\"},\"heading\":\"Events\"} \/-->\n\n<!-- wp:columns {\"className\":\"\"} -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns\"><!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/image {\"image\":{\"url\":null,\"id\":13887}} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/image {\"image\":{\"url\":null,\"id\":13869}} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/alertbox {\"headline\":\"June 18\u201320, 2026, in Belfast: Annual Conference of the European Political Science Society (EPSS) \",\"iconColor\":\"dark\"} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:columns -->\n\n<!-- wp:spacer {\"height\":\"60px\"} -->\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:spacer -->\n\n<!-- wp:columns {\"className\":\"\"} -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns\"><!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/image {\"image\":{\"url\":null,\"id\":13444}} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/image {\"image\":{\"url\":null,\"id\":13432}} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/alertbox {\"headline\":\"March 23\u201325, 2026, in Vienna: BISC Spring Workshop at the Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU)\",\"iconColor\":\"dark\"} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:columns -->\n\n<!-- wp:spacer {\"height\":\"60px\"} -->\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:spacer -->\n\n<!-- wp:columns {\"className\":\"\"} -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns\"><!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/image {\"image\":{\"url\":null,\"id\":13486}} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/alertbox {\"headline\":\"October 8\u201310, 2025, in Hamburg: BISC Junior Fall Meeting\"} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:columns -->\n\n<!-- wp:spacer {\"height\":\"60px\"} -->\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:spacer -->\n\n<!-- wp:columns {\"className\":\"\"} -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns\"><!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/image {\"image\":{\"url\":null,\"id\":11415}} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/image {\"image\":{\"url\":null,\"id\":13525}} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column -->\n\n<!-- wp:column -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-column\"><!-- wp:jgu\/alertbox {\"headline\":\"March 6\u20138, 2025, in Hamburg: BISC Kickoff Meeting\"} \/--><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:column --><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:columns --><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/section --><!-- wp:jgu\/section {\"color\":\"light\"} -->\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-light \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><!-- wp:jgu\/heading {\"anchor\":\"Publikationen\",\"tags\":{\"htmlTag\":\"h2\",\"classTag\":\"\",\"tag\":\"h2\"},\"heading\":\"Publications\"} \/-->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\">Steiner, Nils, Claudia Landwehr and Philipp Harms (2026): <a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/10.1111\/pops.70026\">False Consensus Beliefs and Populist Attitudes, <\/a><em>Political Psychology<\/em>, DOI: 10.1111\/pops.70026<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/section --><!-- wp:spacer {\"height\":\"60px\"} -->\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:spacer --><!-- wp:jgu\/section {\"color\":\"light\"} -->\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-light \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><!-- wp:jgu\/heading {\"anchor\":\"WIP\",\"tags\":{\"htmlTag\":\"h2\",\"classTag\":\"\",\"tag\":\"h2\"},\"heading\":\"Work in Progress\"} \/--><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/section --><!-- wp:spacer {\"height\":\"60px\"} -->\n<div style=\"height:60px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:spacer --><!-- wp:jgu\/section {\"color\":\"light\"} -->\n<div class=\"jgu-bgsection bg bg-light \"><div class=\"content padding-medium\"><!-- wp:jgu\/heading {\"anchor\":\"Vortr\u00e4ge\",\"tags\":{\"htmlTag\":\"h2\",\"classTag\":\"\",\"tag\":\"h2\"},\"heading\":\"Presentations\"} \/-->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\">2026 European Political Science Society (EPSS) Conference in Belfast<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\">2025 Annual Conference of the DVPW Working Group on \u201cElections and Political Attitudes\u201d in Berlin <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\">2025 Research Workshop, Comparative Politics &amp; Political Economy, University of Konstanz<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph {\"translatedWithWPMLTM\":\"1\"} -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\">2023 Annual Conference of the DVPW Working Group on \u201cAnalytical Political Theory\u201d in Hamburg<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:jgu\/section --><!-- wp:spacer {\"height\":\"50px\"} -->\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:spacer --><!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p class=\"has-big-font-size\"><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph 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